Copy article

Charlie Nunn: "This kind of statement from a senior figure within the mortgage and banking industry is what we need more of"

ended 27. June 2024

In an interview on Sky News this morning, Charlie Nunn, the chief executive of Lloyds Banking Group, warned borrowers that a return to the ultra-low interest rates we once had is unlikely: “The expectations the market have is that interest rates probably won't get below 3.5%. And that means mortgages, or the new normal for mortgages, will be in that 3.5-4.5% range, not 1.5-2.5%.” With this in mind, Newspage asked brokers for their views, below. One said: “This kind of statement from a senior figure within the mortgage and banking industry is what we need more of. While most borrowers have accepted that a return to ultra-low rates is unlikely, and are working around today's rates, some have not and risk waiting for something that never comes.” Another added: “The interest rate environment after the Global Financial Crisis was an artificial one but we are now back to reality.”

11 responses from the Newspage community

Copy all

Star Quote
Copy

This kind of statement from a senior figure within the mortgage and banking industry is what we need more of. While most borrowers have accepted that a return to ultra-low rates is unlikely, and are working around today's rates, some have not and risk waiting for something that never comes. Rates are thankfully heading down again but it's highly unlikely they will ever return to the levels we once had.
Star Quote
Copy

We were spoilt for too long and now’s the time to accept that rates won’t ever go that low again. The interest rate environment after the Global Financial Crisis was an artificial one but we are now back to reality. Most people didn’t take advantage and clear their mortgages early, overpay or reduce the term when rates were ultra-low anyway. They just enjoyed the enhanced lifestyle choices they could make as they had more disposable income.
Star Quote
Copy

Interest rates have proved to be sticky on the back of stubborn inflation both here and across the pond. Rates will start to move down, however the trajectory down will be slow and triggered by a move in the US first. I agree that rates will plateau at around 3% long term, unless another pandemic or other major politicial or economic event occurs, in which case they could go lower. Borrowers should remember that a 1% drop in rates is beneficial but won’t be life-changing and need to get accustomed to rates around 3% or 4% going forward. I can see borrowers more likely to take longer term fixed rates once we hit the bottom of the curve.
Star Quote
Copy

The head of the biggest banking group in the country is doing what Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer seem unable to do, namely telling the public the truth. Given the sway Lloyds Banking Group have with the general public, this kind of statement should hopefully get through to the die-hard hopefuls that the ultra-low rates we once enjoyed won’t be back.
Star Quote
Copy

I agree with Charlie Nunn: ultra-low interest rates are history. The public is adjusting to the new normal of 3.5% to 4.5% mortgage rates. Nunn’s comments highlight market reality and urge borrowers to adapt now. The days of 1.5% to 2.5% rates are gone; it’s time for people to rethink their financial plans. Nunn’s message, while seeming to be stating the obvious, should hopefully convince consumers to stop waiting for rate drops and act now. Potential homeowners and those looking to refinance should seize current opportunities and embrace today's reality. It’s time to move forward and make smart, informed decisions.
Copy

If you’re a first-time buyer, you may not see ultra-low interest rates in your mortgage lifetime. But that doesn’t mean a return to good interest rates isn’t possible. We should see rates beginning with a 3 or even a 2 in the not-too-distant future, especially for those with good deposits or equity. Rates at this level provide stability and that would help to avoid the turbulence and torture caused by any future Truss-type administrations.
Copy

It's widely perceived using information from many lender "experts" that the market is correcting itself and 3.5% is going to be the norm in the future. All those years of sub-2% lending now seem like a fairytale after the last few years of bad dreams. We all need to face the fact that the ultra-low interest rates borrowers previously enjoyed won't be returning for a long time or possibly ever.
Copy

What will happen to interest rates is the most common question that I am asked on a daily basis. Of course it's hard to predict what will happen to rates, but I agree and tell all my clients that rates will never be returning to those ultra-low levels, and that this is the new norm and I see rates settling around the 3%-4% mark. Some clients disagree but on the whole most are accepting of this, and I believe the public as a whole are too, which is why we are starting to see more enquiries and why the property market is proving to be so resilient.
Copy

A huge proportion of mortgage borrowers have never seen mortgage rates above 3% in their adult lifetimes, so the turbulence of the past few years has been difficult for many to comprehend. But whilst many have moaned and groaned about these seismic increases in interest rates, most have managed to absorb the extra monthly payments, and will be more cautious about budgeting in general, realising that those cheap days of borrowing have long gone. Most appreciate on reflection that rates were too cheap for too long, and that reasonable pricing is now the norm.
Copy

I see this a lot: people waiting for those ultra-low rates to return, hoping to see sub-3% mortgages again. But let's face it, those rates were an anomaly. Historically, rates have never been as low as they were from 2009 onwards, and it's unrealistic to expect them to be that low anytime soon. Charlie Nunn's comments are a reality check for homeowners and potential buyers alike. Most borrowers have started to accept that ultra-low rates won't be making a comeback. However, there are still some who hold out hope for a return to those golden days. It's crucial for everyone to take this into consideration when planning to buy a residential or investment property with a mortgage. Interest rate cuts from the Bank of England later this year would certainly be beneficial, but we all need to adjust our expectations and plan accordingly. The era of ultra-low rates is behind us, so it's time to make smart, informed decisions based on the current market realities.
Copy

For the most part, borrowers in our experience have readjusted to the new rate environment and know that the good old days of artificially low rates are over. Borrowers are more relieved that rates will no longer rise to 6% than hopeful that they will fall to 2%-3% again. That said there is an expectation that rates will fall over the next six months but this is more likely to be at a glacial pace and buyers have to weigh up waiting for a slightly lower rate that may not appear or risk losing out on their dream home as house prices increase.