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What do you expect from the BoE's interest rate decision this week?

Journalist: Emily Mee, The Sun

ended 16. June 2025

With the Bank of England interest rate decision this week so we're looking to do a bit of a preview. Would love some punchy comments on what you expect from this week's interest rate decision and also ideally... 

- What does this mean for the economy as a whole and for the chancellor? 

- Are we still expecting rates to drop at the fastest pace since the 2008 financial crash? 

8 responses from the Newspage community

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I don’t expect the Bank of England to cut rates this week. Inflation’s still too sticky for a move just yet. But signs of a softening economy, especially weaker wage growth and rising unemployment, are paving the way for a potential cut later this summer. If inflation keeps trending down, August could be the turning point. For the Chancellor, this is a tricky balance. Slower growth gives her a bit more cover on interest rates, but she’ll still need to show how she plans to drive investment and productivity without relying on the Bank alone. We’re not looking at rate cuts on the scale of 2008 – the Bank will move cautiously to avoid reigniting inflation. Think slow and steady, not slash and burn.
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We’re expecting the Bank to hold rates this week, but only just. With inflation data due the day before, the decision could go right down to the wire. If CPI comes in soft, we may see the doves flex their wings, but August remains the more likely cut.

For the Chancellor, a delayed rate cut isn’t ideal as he needs borrowing costs to ease to support growth and consumer confidence. And while we may see a series of cuts before year-end, it won’t be at 2008 style speed. This cycle will be cautious and data-led.
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This has all the feel of another 'Wait and See' approach by the BofE, they know they need to reduce rates but don't want to be seen as too radical. The threat of sticky inflation, and in particular an impending rise in fuel costs, will be their justfication this time round. Mortgage rates will just meander along for the time being.
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It’s time for Threadneedle Street to stop sitting on its hands. A bold but sensible series of rate cuts could finally ease the unbearable pressure on households, revive growth, and start plugging the Treasury’s black hole through stronger tax revenues. The cost of living is scandalous, inflation is heading the wrong way, and waiting for the perfect moment is paralysing progress. Someone has to take the initiative and break this cycle, because right now, it’s being handled like a slow-motion car crash.
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With a reported £147 billion worth of remortgages coming up for renewal over the next six months, it is safe to say there are lots of homeowners praying the base rate comes down again. There are also many first-time buyers hoping to get more affordable mortgages. Clearly the MPC has a tough job to balance inflation while keeping savers and mortgage borrowers happy, but another base rate cut would be welcomed by many.
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Record numbers of borrowers are approaching the end of their fixed rates over the next few months, a cut to base rate would go a long way towards helping them.
Whilst those in government and the Bank of England think that the cost of living crisis is behind us, it doesn't feel like that on the streets. Working people are slogging away week to week, but feel cash strapped.
A reduction in base rate would be a huge help to borrowers and their quality of life.
But some of the data has not gone our way recently and it looks like the Monetary Policy committee will hold this week. Hopefully, we get some good inflation data and they have an attack of conscience this week, then maybe be get a shock reduction.
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It's likely the Bank will sit on the fence again this week and hold the base rate rather than cut it. If they hold rates, it just leaves the economy in a holding position, which isn't ideal given that growth is almost negligible. A lot might depend on the CPI data published the day before. That probably won't tempt many on the committee to change their minds, though.

The Chancellor would welcome the rate cut, and it would give the economy a shot in the arm, especially given the anaemic growth we've seen since July. The rate cuts will most likely be done gradually, as has been the case so far. The Bank doesn't seem to want to bring them down rapidly, given the risk of inflation spiking again.
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We'll probably see a cut of 0.25%. There are lots of reasons as to why rates might come down but the Bank of England is quite cautious and will be worried about stoking inflation. With taxes hikes, high public debt and growth being stunted, it would help the government out to lower interest rates but i'm not sure it would be enough to generate the growth the government needs to make their plans work.