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ONS jobs data:ONS jobs data: fall in payrolled employment in November may reflect shift to outsourcing

ended 17. December 2024

The estimated number of vacancies was 818,000 in the UK in September to November 2024, a decrease of 31,000, or 3.7%, from June to August 2024, according to ONS jobs data published this morning. The data also revealed payrolled employment decreased by 35,000 employees (0.1%) in November 2024 when compared with October 2024. Since the Budget and the incoming increases to employers' NI and the minimum wage next year, accountants, tax experts, outsourcing specialists and business owners have identified a surge in the number of businesses looking to outsource in 2025 to reduce their overheads. One accountant said: “2025 could be the year of outsourcing as businesses grapple with increased NI and wage costs.” Meanwhile, one business owner said: “Outsourcing has evolved from a cost-cutting tactic into a strategic necessity for business survival.” Their views are below.

12 responses from the Newspage community

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The government’s failure to create a business-friendly hiring environment is pushing more companies towards outsourcing, with significant consequences for the UK economy. Rising employers’ National Insurance costs and the minimum wage hikes are making it increasingly unviable for small and medium-sized businesses to hire locally. While outsourcing may offer convenience and cost savings, the trend of turning to overseas providers will drain revenue from the UK economy, reducing tax contributions and leaving job seekers with fewer opportunities. Instead of forcing businesses into this corner, the government should focus on incentivising local employment by lowering costs and cutting red tape. Without urgent action, 2025 risks becoming the year outsourcing booms at the expense of British workers and businesses.
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When I launched my business in July 2020, everyone was working online due to the pandemic lockdowns and I quickly saw a surge in demand from UK businesses of all shapes and sizes for making currency payments to overseas remote workers, usually in IT, marketing, branding and virtual assistant roles. Labour’s first Budget for nearly 15 years has only accelerated this trend further. UK businesses reeling from the impending increases in employers' National Insurance and the minimum wage are looking to outsource in 2025 to manage rising overheads. The shift towards outsourcing reflects a broader strategy to cut costs while maintaining service quality, allowing businesses to focus on core activities. As firms grapple with increased financial pressures, outsourcing offers a viable solution to navigate the challenging economic landscape. This trend is particularly pronounced in sectors with high labour demands or tight profit margins.
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The question a growing number of business owners are asking following the Budget, as they seek to balance the books, is: 'To outsource or not to outsource?'. 2025 could be the year of outsourcing as businesses grapple with increased NI and wage costs. When outsourcing is strategic, that is one thing, but when it is due to UK PLC being a zero or negative growth economy with increasing costs and businesses having to outsource to survive, then it is tragic. In that case, we need to revisit fiscal policies that actively promote and encourage firms to send work to other — typically low-cost — economies as that does our own economy no favours at all. Outsourcing needs to be considered carefully as while there are many pros, there are also many cons dependent on the nature of the role in question. If you've never outsourced before, seek advice and beware of the risk. Cost savings should not come at the cost of your brand so always do the appropriate due diligence before you commit.
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Outsourcing should be the perfect answer to combat the NIC rate rise but it comes with a caveat. The outsourcing solution of paying people off-payroll is heavily regulated. This would include the infamous IR35. So, as much as it seems a good idea, there may be repercussions if you engage your workforce off-payroll now but HMRC disagrees with you later. It could cost you dearly in tax and penalties. The other alternative is to engage a worker through an umbrella company. But again the government has introduced new rules that will change the labour supply chain and transfer who is responsible for the tax of the umbrella worker. It is not just the tax changes that are encouraging employers to find other ways to engage workers. The Employment Rights Bill will also have an impact. All these measures together are making it very difficult for UK Plc. And this at a time when the Labour government is claiming to be the party of business.
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Outsourcing has evolved from a cost-cutting tactic into a strategic necessity for business survival. UK companies face rising wages and higher employer costs, making international recruitment increasingly attractive. Our company shows this shift: when UK staff leave, we now hire overseas rather than locally. This lets us grow while controlling costs. Our suppliers are following the same path, pointing to a wider industry change. In 2025, strong international partnerships will be key to managing UK business costs, though this may reduce local job opportunities.
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The rise in employer National Insurance contributions and the forthcoming minimum wage increase have prompted many businesses to explore outsourcing as a cost-effective alternative to in-house recruitment. With these changes impacting operational costs, outsourcing is becoming a strategic choice, particularly for SMEs. We’ve seen a growing trend in businesses leveraging outsourcing to stay agile and competitive. It offers access to diverse expertise, tools, and technology without the financial burden of hiring full-time staff. Our clients benefit from tailored solutions, including strategy, SEO, social media, and content creation. Outsourcing also provides scalability, helping businesses adjust services to seasonal or market demands while reducing risks associated with recruitment or redundancy. However, it requires careful alignment with goals and clear communication to manage quality effectively.
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As the battle against overheads rumbles on I’m sure many will look at options such as outsourcing to improve cash flow within there businesses. For smaller firms like ours, customers have come to love the more personal touch and the quality of customer service and this could be lost through outsourcing.
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It is cheaper to hire someone on a freelance basis at twice the cost of the salary of an average employee. Outsourcing means operating within a free market where businesses can turn the tap on and off according to need. When the work or inbound revenue dries up, the freelance work dries up too which makes it more efficient than carrying the burden of permanent staff. Much is being said of raising productivity levels through these government-led changes, but for many small businesses it is having the opposite effect. The losers here are people with no interest in starting their own freelance business, and those looking for their first step on the career ladder. Who is going to be able to afford to give those people a chance?
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With the recent Budget and upcoming increases in employers' NI and the minimum wage, many businesses are turning to outsourcing as a cost-effective alternative to hiring in-house. We've observed this trend, particularly as companies seek flexibility and focus on core competencies. Ther pros are outsourcing offers cost efficiency, scalability and allows businesses to concentrate on strategic growth. The cons can be challenges such as communication barriers, quality control and data security risks. We've helped clients, like a manufacturing firm, transition to our virtual finance team model, reducing costs and enhancing financial insights. While UK-based outsourcing is popular for ease of communication, overseas options are also considered for cost savings.
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As someone who offers outsourced services, we have noticed a definite up-tick in enquiries since the Budget. While we have always offered our service of an outsourced, or to use modern parlance, 'fractional', Data Protection Officer to organisations of all sizes as a cost-effective solution, this has proved to be even more the case when the National Insurance increases are taken into account, especially given the impact of the Employee Rights legislation still to come. To be brutally honest, most organisations don't need a full-time DPO on the payroll, what they do need is for DPO support to be there whenever they need it. I'm sure the same could be said for accountants, lawyers, graphic designers and LinkedIn marketing specialists.
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Outsourced HR is now well established within many smaller companies that lack a dedicated HR function and that looks set to increase after the Budget. For SME businesses, HR can be a distress purchase where something has gone wrong, perhaps a disciplinary or grievance or Employment Tribunal claim where outside help is needed. It is not the employer's core area of expertise so it makes sense to call on external help for a fraction of the cost of an HR Manager or Director.
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2025 could be the year businesses finally throw their hands up and say, ‘We need a new way to do this'. Rising NI costs, minimum wage hikes, and the Employment Rights Bill are making direct hiring feel more like a gamble than a strategy. We’ve had plenty of overwhelmed employers coming to our payroll team, confused about hiring costs and even basic support like the Employment Allowance. It’s shocking how many still don’t know how it works. Once they do, the relief is obvious but so is the frustration. You can’t blame businesses for exploring temp-to-perm options or outsourcing just to stay sane.