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Mortgage rates

Journalist: Callum Mason, i

ended 23. October 2025

Seeing suggestions that today’s inflation figure puts another interest rate cut this year back on cards.

Does this put the chance of mortgage rate reductions up a little this year?

 

6 responses from the Newspage community

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I suspect the Bank of England base rate will come down in December and if it does, then mortgage rates may edge down a bit. Normally when we are heading towards the end of the year some of the bigger lenders lower their rates to attract business and it may well happen again over the coming weeks.
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Any positive news on inflation figures ie. below what's been forecast, adds weight to the possibility of further interest rate cuts by the Bank of England. It's a fine balance to strike, though, as inflation is still higher than the 2% target, so they'll want to ensure this doesn't reverse the downward trend of inflation getting where it needs to be. Fixed rate mortgage deals arguably already price in expected base rate decisions, but it may be that this news adds some downward pressure on fixed rates, too.
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On Thursday morning, both Barclays and HSBC announced rate cuts. Inflation not rising as expected may be giving lenders a little more confidence than they had a week ago. However, many lenders are still apprehensive about the Budget so we're unlikely to see major moves until after the Chancellor has delivered her speech.
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Today's inflation news has already sparked some movement, with Barclays and HSBC cutting rates this morning. This suggests lenders are gaining a touch more confidence, though they remain wary with the Budget looming next week.
You might see modest rate reductions before Christmas if the Bank of England cuts again in December. However, any savings could be offset by potential tax changes in the Budget. The bigger lenders often compete for year-end business, so watch for more cuts in the coming weeks, but temper expectations until we know what the Chancellor has planned.
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Swap rates had started to fall this week prior to the announcement on inflation remaining stagnant. There is an opportunity for lenders to reduce rates this week as Swap rates are now at the same levels seen in April of this year. However we may see caution from some mortgage lenders with the autumn budget on the horizon which has the ability to rock the boat. It remains to be seen if any lenders will be willing to make some improvements to rates, whcih will be a welcome news for borrowers and first time buyers.
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I feel we’ll see another lag between headline figures and the pounds in our pocket. Lenders are cautious and rightly so as debt burdens increase and we await a budget that’s sure to hurt. Any good news on interest rates is likely to be wiped out with new tax changes.