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Is the US about to go into a recession?

ended 18. November 2025

To be sent to the wider media:

A senior Federal Reserve official has warned of a possible US recession after “eye-popping” lay-offs from major companies amid a slump in consumer confidence.

Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, said he would vote for an interest rate cut at the central bank’s next meeting in December because of clear signs that the US economy was “significantly slowing” compared to last year.

US job cuts so far in 2025 have surged by 65% compared to last year, and October’s total was the highest for that month since 2003, according to a report by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a company that helps laid off workers find jobs.

  • Do you think the US will go into recession?
  • How will this affect the UK? Will it be negatively affected?
  • What do you predict over the next few weeks and months?

Responses ASAP please.

2 responses from the Newspage community

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Editor
Chris Barry
Director at Thomas Legal
The US going into recession would be the straw which breaks the UK’s back for sure. The US however are turning the tide on QT and starting QE. They will print themselves out of default and recession as they have done throughout most of history since leaving the gold standard. As the world reserve currency, it has to remain strong given the overwhelming demand.
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Editor
Riz Malik
Independent Financial Adviser at R3 Wealth
The US economy is showing signs of strain, but the UK may be leading the downturn, especially after the budget. With job growth stalling and unemployment creeping up, central banks could move more quickly to cut rates. However, businesses remain cautious and unlikely to rehire quickly amid continued uncertainty. The delay in key US data due to the Federal shutdown only deepens suspicion and clouds the outlook