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Tracker mortgages

ended 08. September 2022

A journalist at The Times wants your thoughts on tracker mortgages. Are they worth taking out, what are the best trackers on offer at the moment, and will there come a point when we no longer expect further rate rises when trackers might be a good bet? Deadline is 5pm today. Go go go.

9 responses from the Newspage community

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With the current level of uncertainty regarding where we will see interest rates end up, trackers are a very risky recommendation at the moment. With many homeowners already concerned about the rising cost of living, having their largest outgoing potentially rising significantly is a gamble that many will be unwilling to take. The problem is that we have all grown accustomed to very low interest rates and believe this to be the norm. It is not and I fear we may be about to be rudely reminded of this. Very few households could afford to see their mortgage interest rate rise to the levels we saw in 2008 at 5.25% let alone 1989 at 15%. Trackers are always a gamble versus the certainty of a long-term fix but you would need to be a brave individual to bet on rates currently.
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At the moment, I am seeing an increase in the amount of tracker mortgages being taken up. Getting a tracker without any penalties to come out of it gives you the flexibility to review your mortgage situation whenever you feel necessary, without the hefty risk of penalties. However, there is a risk that your mortgage will go up in cost in the short term. That said, I believe we will see a drop in rates in the future and people on trackers will be the first to benefit. If you offered me a tracker or a 10-year fixed rate at the moment, I would snap your hand off for the tracker. Although the stability of the fixed rate may give you comfort, a tracker is the lesser of two evils as flexibility is key at the moment. However, one thing to take into account is your budget: if you are already close to having no disposable income, then maybe the tracker is not the right option for you, as if interest rates continue to increase, you risk losing your property. So when it comes to making a decision, make sure you speak to a qualified professional. What is good for one, may not be good for another. Remember, you will always lose to the lender in this game, you just get to choose how you lose.
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Tracker mortgages are incredibly attractive to borrowers at present, but beware of a wolf in sheep's clothing. Tracker rates start around 0.7% above the Bank of England base rate, whilst an equivalent fixed rate mortgage can be considerably higher. This means clients can make decent monthly savings in the short-term. However, tracker mortgage payments can change each month, either up, or down and therefore come with a certain degree of risk, whilst fixed rate mortgages offer payment security albeit at a higher cost. Effectively trackers are a gamble on whether mortgage rates might go in the future, something which none of us know. Generally, advice should be based on circumstances and not rate predictions. Tracker mortgages are best suited to clients who are able to accept significantly higher payments in the future if rates move against them, or require additional flexibility to repay capital at any point. If not, it's better the devil you know, and security of payment might be a sensible option given the current state of the economy.
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Tracker mortgages could be a gold mine for those that have the appetite for the risks associated with them. Interest rates are on the rise. We are all aware that the current level of inflation needs to be curbed, and rate rises are the bank's only tool. However, in 12 months we expect inflation to be back near its target of 2% and the economy to be in the bin. At this point, the bank will feel pressure to reduce rates. Only yesterday, Nationwide released rates where a 10-year fixed will cost you less than a 2-year deal. This signifies what they think of the economy and where rates might be going.
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The current uncertainty around rates would mean you must have tolerance for pain as with a tracker, and your monthly payments will be yoyoing month to month, which I feel the majority of people don't want as they want certainty to be able to budget.
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Trackers right now are incredibly high risk with limited upside and a lot of downside. They can start off cheaper than fixed rate deals, but unless you can comfortably afford the payments, why take the chance on a variable rate in an era of rising interest rates?
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Trackers are a great alternative for customers who have the disposable income to ride out this current storm. They suit people who don't want to be stuck in for a 2 or 5-year duration if rates do come tumbling back down again. There are products on the market that sit at 0.7% above the Bank of England base rate, which, if rates do come back down, could offer a very competitive option. Trying to time if and when rates will come down is the million dollar question. With a new government in place and the new announcements on the energy cap it will be interesting to see how the rest of 2022 pans out.
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I only feel comfortable recommending trackers when there are no penalties for leaving the tracker. These do exist and can be great for when somebody needs the flexibility to move home in the near future, but it isn't certain. The reason being, if they decide to stay put they can quickly and easily switch to a fixed rate, literally overnight in some cases. This means they get the flexibility in the short term but keep the lifeline to quickly protect themselves from further rate increases, which look likely. Lenders who issue trackers and maintain an early repayment charge need to have a look at themselves, or at least introduce a cap beyond which the interest rate cannot increase.
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There are benefits with tracker mortgages. A lot of them have no exit fees, which gives flexibility for those considering moving. The pricing is competitive as there is an element of risk if rates continue to rise. However, if rates level off or reduce quickly then a tracker will be much more competitive than the current 2 and 5 year fixed rate options being offered.