The Emperor's New Data Centre. Who's Paying for Tech Giants' AI Naked Ambition?
Should investors be reducing exposure to tech stocks showing historically unprecedented capital expenditure with unclear ROI timelines?
The numbers don't stack up. Wired confirms Meta, Google, and Microsoft committed over $200 billion in combined annual AI infrastructure spending, while the Australian government forced Deloitte to refund $440,000 for an AI-generated report containing fabrications. That's your bubble warning shot.
MIT reports 95% of generative AI projects fail. S&P's 2025 Global Market Intelligence Report found 42% of businesses are scrapping most AI initiatives, up from 17% last year. Only 6% of AI investments hit expected payback periods.
Meanwhile, Google's carbon emissions soared 51% since 2019 driven by datacentre growth. AI data centres will double electricity consumption by 2026 to 1,000TWh, and use more power than the whole of Japan by 2030 according to IEA.. The US grid saw $9.3 billion in electricity price increases with rising prices likely to constraint future data centre growth. A mid-sized data centre uses approximately 300,000 gallons of water per day.
Model collapse. Cannibalistic AI systems are being trained on an internet flooded with AI-generated "slop" and state-actor misinformation. Russian disinformation networks published 3.6 million articles in 2024 alone, deliberately manipulating training datasets. This "large-language model grooming," is successfully manipulating AI outputs. A 2025 KPMG study found 66% of employees use AI output without checking accuracy, and 56% admit to work mistakes because of it.
And who carries the risk? Not the providers. Insurers won't cover "black box" AI systems. OpenAI is using VC money to manage its libaility. When developers build AI tools for clients, they often carry unlimited liability. Meanwhile, OpenAI caps its own liability at "the greater of your last 12 months' payments or $100" if the user is on the free plan. This forces businesses leveraging AI systems to bear the lion’s share of the risk for claims arising from defective products or vendor negligence.
We want your views:
- Do you agree this is a bubble? Why, why not?
- If AI models are intentionally being weaponised by state actors via "LLM grooming," how does any business trust the outputs?
- When 95% of projects fail and only 6% hit payback targets, who's left holding the baby when the bubble bursts?
- Should regulators intervene when liability is capped at $100-$240 but losses are unlimited for developers building on third-party platforms?
- If good quality training material is consistently polluted by caniballistic consumption of AI slop and state-led misinterpretation, Is AI Model collapse going to happen sooner or later?

