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More borrowers are choosing five-year fixes over two-year fixes amid uncertainty – are you seeing this?

ended 28. July 2026

An increasing number of borrowers are choosing to lock in for longer with their mortgages, Heron Financial's Client Sentiment Report has found.

Two-year fixes stayed dominant but lost ground every month in Q2, falling from 68.1% in April to 65.1% in May to 58.0% in June, new figures show.

Five-year fixes went the other way, from 10.6% to 13.8% to 18.0%.

So the quarter ended with more borrowers buying certainty of five-year fixes.

The split runs along experience. Across the book, five-year fixes accounted for 14.1% of Q2 product choices. Among first-time buyers, they accounted for 43.6%. The least experienced borrowers in the quarter, carrying the highest LTVs, were three times more likely than everyone else to lock in for five years.

  • Are you seeing a similar trend of borrowers choosing to lock in for more five-year fixes? Are more first-time buyers choosing longer five-year fixes?
  • Why do you think this is?
  • What would you advise people do? A two-year fix in the hope rates come down in two years, or a five-year fix for peace of mind and stability?

Responses asap.

9 responses from the Newspage community

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This is quite an understandable trend given that more borrowers are extending their mortgage options through enhanced affordability schemes, such as Nationwide Helping Hand, that require the borrower to take a 5yr deal. In the main, taking a 5-year fix is more a necessity than a choice, irrespective of what may or may not be right for the borrower's needs. Locking on longer-term fixed deals allows lenders to lend more, and first-time buyers are attracted to this when they look to bypass leasehold flats and enter the market much higher up the property ladder. The research may be technically correct, but what fuels the change is clearly how extended affordability is now a key influence in how the property market moves in expensive parts of the UK.
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We are seeing more borrowers choosing five-year fixed rates, particularly first-time buyers and those who value certainty over trying to predict where interest rates will go next. For some, affordability schemes also mean a five-year fix is part of accessing the borrowing they need.

However, there isn't a one-size-fits-all answer. A two-year fix can still be the right option for borrowers expecting their circumstances to change or who are comfortable reviewing their mortgage sooner.

The biggest mistake is trying to time the market. No one knows exactly where rates will be in two years' time. The right mortgage isn't necessarily the cheapest today – it's the one that fits your financial plans and gives you confidence you can comfortably afford the payments for the whole fixed-rate period.
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After years of volatility, certainty has become a financial asset in its own right. We’re seeing more borrowers, particularly first-time buyers, choosing five-year fixes because payment certainty has real value.

The right answer isn’t automatically two years or five years. It’s choosing the product that best fits your financial plans, rather than trying to predict where mortgage rates will be in 2028.
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We're seeing a similar shift, though it's worth remembering product choice comes down to a client's own circumstances, risk appetite and aspirations, and every broker's client base is different, so results will vary firm to firm. A two-year fix is a bet on the Bank of England, a five-year fix is a decision to stop betting. Among our first-time buyers, that trend towards longer fixes is real, they're often the most exposed to rate shocks and want the certainty locked in from day one. Wealthier clients on higher incomes tend to go the other way, choosing trackers for the flexibility to overpay without limit. My advice depends entirely on the client in front of me: if losing sleep over rate movements would hurt more than losing out on a marginally cheaper deal, five years buys peace of mind. If overpaying and flexibility matter more, a tracker or two-year fix still has a strong case.
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While overall sentiment shifts toward five-year fixes for peace of mind, especially among cautious first-time buyers, my view from the specialist lending side is very different.

For poor credit borrowers, a two-year fix will always remain the preferred choice.

Fixing for five years traps impaired-credit clients in high rates for far too long. A shorter two-year term gives them time to rebuild their credit profile and refinance onto prime rates much faster, where permitted.

Uncertain markets make long-term stability tempting, but if you're rebuilding credit, don't lock yourself in, and where possible, a two-year fix could be the smartest bridge to a cheaper deal.
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I am not seeing a clear rush into five-year fixes across my client base. The choice is still highly personal. Some borrowers value the lower initial cost and flexibility of a two-year fix, while others are willing to pay more for the certainty of knowing exactly what their mortgage will cost for longer.

First-time buyers can be more drawn to five-year deals because they are often borrowing at higher loan-to-values, have less room in their monthly budget and want stability while they settle into homeownership. But a five-year fix is not automatically safer if the borrower may move, refinance or overpay heavily during that period.

My advice is to compare both options against the client’s real circumstances, not a rate forecast. Look at affordability, expected life changes, early repayment charges and how much payment uncertainty they can genuinely tolerate. The right deal is the one that still works if rates do not move as hoped.
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Yes, we are seeing the same shift, but the first-time buyer number should give people pause rather than reassure them. Those are the borrowers sitting at the highest loan to value, so they are locking in the most expensive pricing on the market for five years, at precisely the point their loan to value is falling fastest. Two years of capital repayments plus any movement in house prices can drop someone out of a 95 percent deal and into an 85 percent band, and that jump usually saves more than a cut in the Bank of England base rate ever would.

Nobody knows what rates do next, so this is not a right or wrong call, it is a balance between buying security and taking a calculated risk. Five years buys certainty and there is genuine value in that. Two years keeps the door open to a cheaper loan to value band. What matters is that borrowers understand which of those two things they are choosing.
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Two things are pushing borrowers to five-year fixes, and neither is the hope of a lower rate. Two-year fixes have fallen from 68% of choices in April to 58% in June, while five-year deals have risen from around 11% to 18%, and the pattern is sharper among first-time buyers, more than four in ten of whom are fixing for five years. The first driver is certainty: when rates are volatile, a payment that holds for five years is worth a lot, especially to those with least room for error. The second, less discussed, is affordability. Some lenders offer enhanced affordability on a five-year deal, so a longer fix can stretch borrowing further, which matters most to those reaching hardest to get in. It may be why the least experienced buyers on the highest loan-to-values are three times more likely than anyone else to fix for the longer term. Which suits someone depends on how long they plan to stay, but given the choice in an uncertain market, more are choosing a payment they can count on.
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The data around first-time buyers choosing five-year fixes makes sense. They are often at higher loan to values, tighter on affordability, and the last thing they need is a rate shock two years in when they are still finding their feet. Certainty has a real value for that group that does not always show up in a rate comparison.

But I would not generalise it beyond that. A two-year fix is not automatically the wrong call if rates do ease as expected. And a five-year fix is not automatically safe if your circumstances might change.

My honest advice is the same for every client. Stop trying to call the market and start with what works for your life. What can you comfortably afford if rates move? How likely are your circumstances to change? The answers to those two questions tell you more than any rate forecast.