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Interest rate cut

Journalist: Frances Ivens, Telegraph

ended 18. January 2025

Money markets are now pricing in three Bank of England Bank Rate cuts this year. 

What does that mean for mortgages, do you expect to see lenders pass on rate cuts to borrowers given 1.8 million people need to remortgage this year?

5 responses from the Newspage community

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Rate cuts would be a welcome relief, especially as they could provide some respite for the 1.8 million households facing remortgaging realities this year. However, borrowers shouldn't pin all their hopes on lenders passing on these reductions in full, given the cautious approach we’ve seen from some lenders in recent years. That said, this situation exposes a deeper issue. With growth stagnating and retail sales slumping, the Chancellor’s continued inaction is striking the wrong chord. It’s time for the Treasury to step up. Relying on the Bank of England’s monetary levers while ignoring the broader fiscal challenges is shortsighted and risks compounding the strain on households and businesses alike. Leadership is needed now—not when the situation becomes irreversible.
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If the Bank of England base rate comes down multiple times this year, it seems likely that fixed rate pricing will improve. Although there are a lot of risk factors with trade tariffs and increased government borrowing costs. Fixed rates priced around four per cent are pretty much the new benchmark for cheap mortgages, so if we end up with rates starting with a three then i think many borrowers would be pleased. There is a lot of choice when it comes to choosing a mortgage rate, and while some have to take a five-year fix to get a sufficiently large loan size, others can take a one, two, three, five, seven or ten-year fix. While borrowers want payment security, they also don't want to be paying more than necessary because rates have come down and they have locked into a longer-term deal.
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Lenders are usually pretty good at passing on savings to clients. Their margins are wafer thin currently, so they’ll increase their share slightly, but ultimately rates for borrowers will fall. More importantly, a flurry of rate reductions this year will give borrowers confidence which will give the property market and overdue boost.
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I think the base rate will be even lower, around the region of2.75% to 3.5% The Bank of England are the UKs last hope before plunging into a recession, the current government appear to have little grasp of the economy and I fear for the worse if we don't see economic growth The country wanted a government that would drive economy and growth forward, what they got was a bag of lies and empty promises.
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If the money markets are correct, the Bank of England base rate will be no higher than 4 percent by the end of this year. Great news for beseiged homeowners who need to refinance and may be coming off very cheap 5 year fixes. The questions then are, how soon will those cuts arrive? And will the pound continue to weaken? The latter would push up inflation, which might result in fewer cuts than expected.