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Trump tariffs send gold to new all-time high: "$4,000 possible in the long term"

ended 10. February 2025

Gold has hit a new all-time high this morning following Trump's announcement of a 25% import tax on aluminium and steel. Against this volatile politico-economic backdrop, Newspage asked experts how much higher can gold feasibly go, whether now is the time to invest in it and what other asset classes could benefit? Their views will appear below until 11:00.

7 responses from the Newspage community

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Following news of President Trump slapping a 25% tariff on both aluminium and steel, we have seen gold rise again through the uncertainty. It's currently trading at $2902. The target of $3000 is very much in sight and, as we know, when times are uncertain, investors flock to safe-haven assets such as gold to hedge. This is a trend I believe we will see more of through the rest of this year. Once $3000 has been breached we will then have to re-assess. $4000 is a great longer term target but the first target has to be hit first.
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Gold hit a new all-time high of $2,927.50 this morning following President Trump’s announcement of a 25% import tax on all aluminum and steel imports into the USA, raising fresh concerns over a global trade war. Gold is now likely to surpass $3,000 this month, with $4,000 possible in the long term. Other assets that could benefit from rising uncertainty include silver, safe-haven currencies like the US Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Japanese Yen, Treasury bonds, defensive stocks, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and commodities such as oil. Amid the ongoing economic-political uncertainty, gold remains a solid hedge for investors seeking stability.
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As tariff fears continue to escalate, rising geopolitical anxieties have ignited a contemporary gold rush, with investors flocking to this age-old refuge. Gold's allure is undeniable as a safe haven, rocketing past the symbolic $2,900 mark this week. An upcoming spree of central bank monetary easing is propelling gold on a relentless upward trajectory with seemingly ample room for further gains. This, combined with a world rife with international turmoil and tariff proliferation, could be the spark that pushes gold prices to the $3,000 threshold. Yet, despite the enduring bullish outlook, the rapid climb in gold prices could lead to significant volatility. With a series of unprecedented highs, the gold market risks overheating and may face bouts of profit-taking, so investors should brace for short-term fluctuations as gold reaches new heights. In an era marked by uncertainty, cautious investors are driving the precious metal to unprecedented levels.
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Trump's Tariff tailwind is the latest boost for the already soaring gold rally. Fears of global trade wars and rising geopolitical tensions coupled with insatiable central bank purchases from emerging markets mean $3000 gold may well come along earlier than we thought.
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While some of the traditional economic drivers of gold—weaker dollar, low interest rates and negative real yields—are not currently in play, geopolitical factors are the primary force behind rising demand. Given the likelihood of continued geopolitical instability and the potential for Trump’s policies to weaken the dollar, gold could see further upward momentum. Additonally, if the US enters a recession, this could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates, further strengthening gold’s appeal. Silver typically follows gold’s trajectory, and given the current gold-to-silver ratio, silver appears undervalued in relative terms. Beyond precious metals, other asset classes that could benefit in this climate include certain commodities, real estate, and select cryptocurrencies. Is now the right time to invest in gold? Its safe-haven appeal remains strong, but investors must balance potential gains against short-term volatility, especially at current high prices.
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It's a perfect storm for gold. Trump's tariffs, if enacted in a serious manner, are likely to cause inflation, at the same time as increasing uncertainty, both catalysts for demand for gold.
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Gold has been an age-old asset refuge in volatile times. Savvy investors will take advantage of this, but it’s essential to consider the impact of forced interest in the market, which could inflate demand.