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Sub 4% mortgage - what next?

Journalist: Rachel Mortimer, The Times and Sunday Times

ended 25. July 2024

Hello! 

Writing a piece on what borrowers can expect from the mortgage market in the coming months and any top tips for them to navigate rates. Obviously Nationwide dropped below 4% - but it's targeted at a certain borrower, can the majority of borrowers expect more rate cuts soon?

And it's for a five year fix - what are the pros and cons locking in for this long? Is affordability more relaxed and you can borrow more? 

Any handy tips you are giving to clients at the moment would be much appreciated.

Thanks very much,

Rachel 

6 responses from the Newspage community

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We are anticipating the rate reductions to continue as the first base rate cut looms ever closer. SWAP rates are seeing a steady decline as the leading economic indicators all show more positive data, and this looks set to continue. More lenders are likely to jump on the bandwagon with sub 4% rates, but caution that these are likely to only be for lower loan to value mortgages and over the longer 5 year terms. These may therefore not be for everybody. Anybody wanting only short term security and more flexibility can still expect to be paying in excess of 4%.
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Nationwide’s 3.99% product was a headline grabbing positive statement on the direction of the market, but was limited to home movers with large deposits. What we need to see next is the Bank of England to provide some respite for borrowers with the first base-rate deduction, and for sub 4% products to become more widely available from more lenders and to more borrowers at higher loan to values.
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We may well get more sub-4% fixes soon, especially if the Monetary Policy Committee acts to lower the base rate. The only catch with best buy deals at the moment is that they are limited to borrowers purchasing rather than remortgaging. Lenders tend to offer cheaper deals to those buying a property as there is not really a shortage of people needing to remortgage.
Lenders are trying to build up their business pipelines and some are already focusing on mortgage completions for next year. When they are fighting for market share, they tend to work harder to attract borrowers.
Nationwide's cheap five-year fix is limited to home movers, first time buyers and remortgaging customers will pay more. Some of the other lender's rates are now not much more expensive.
Halifax and Santander are two of the biggest lenders offering more generous mortgages when borrowers take five-year fixes. Many buyers would not be able to get a sufficiently large mortgage without this niche bit of criteria.
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When the MPC finally open the treasure chest for borrowers by dropping base rate we will see the mortgage world kick up a couple of gears and we should see a borrowing bonanza for those looking for cheaper deals. In the meantime, the only deals on offer are incremental drops from lenders looking to target specific lower risk customers, with plenty of equity. Generally fixed money is on the drop with the notable sub 4% offer from Nationwide, which is sure to find itself with company over the next week as more of the big 6 jostle for headlines. 5 year fixed rates are still the favourite product for many, as they help feed the borrowing appetite of consumers hungry to borrow as much as possible. Lenders are happier to lend more on these products compared with a 2 year deal, as they offer longer periods of security for the lenders risk averse appetites. A great example of this is April Mortgages willingness to lend up to 6 times loan to income for long term fixed rate products.
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Lenders usually have their fingers on the pulse and price their products in accordance with what they expect to be happening with interest rates over the coming years. Lenders reducing reducing mortgage rates is a bad sign for savers as it is likely to mean that savings rates are heading in the same direction. If you are planning on saving it is a good time to look at locking your money away for longer.
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The recent drop in mortgage rates, particularly the sub-4% offerings from Nationwide, is undoubtedly positive news for potential homeowners. While this is a step in the right direction, it's crucial to remember that these rates often come with specific criteria, such as a high loan-to-value ratio or a limited choice of products.

For many borrowers, a five-year fixed rate might seem appealing for its stability. However, it's essential to weigh this against the potential for even lower rates in the future. Locking in for such a long term could limit flexibility if circumstances change.

My advice to borrowers would be to carefully consider their individual financial situation and long-term goals.