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Rising mortgage rates and reduction in product availability

Journalist: Frances Ivens, Telegraph

ended 12. September 2022

This is Money/ MailOnline journalist writing a piece on residential mortgage rates and product availability. 

Figures from MoneyFacts reveal the number of available products in the residential sector plummeted by 517 over the month to leave just 3,890 on offer for September, the lowest number we have seen in over a year (April 2021 - 3,842).

At the same time rates are still rising with both 2-year and 5-year fix average now both over 4%. People who agreed a two year fix in September 2020 could now be remortgaging at 2% more than their old rate. 

What is the reason for the decline in available products? What is the impact on demand and the wider market as a result of these two changes?

7 responses from the Newspage community

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During times of economic uncertainty, we always see a reduction in available mortgage products. This is because banks and building societies are unsure to what extent the Bank of England is going to act to curb inflation. The bank reacts to economic data, and that is difficult to predict. Most lenders expect rates to rise further over the next 2-5 years. This is why you are seeing such increases in their products over these terms. However, it is interesting that some 10-year products are on lower rates. This suggests that lenders think the economy will weaken over this period and rates will need to be reduced in the long term.
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The reduction in available products is not a new thing, and there are multiple reasons as to why we are seeing it. One reason at the moment is uncertainty over the trajectory of interest rates, whilst other lenders have withdrawn products just because of the sheer volume of applications that have been flooding their way. Current service levels show that lenders simply can't handle the volume of applications coming into them. With service levels exceeding 28 working days for some lenders, they run the risk of FCA-regulated complaints due to poor service, so the easiest way to prevent this is just to turn the tap off by withdrawing products. Unfortunately, a lot of lenders and solicitors are still stuck in the 20th century with their mortgage systems. With the technology we have available to us, we shouldn't see lenders pulling out because of an inability to deal with current demand. However, some lenders do not care about the service that they provide to their clients, instead putting profits first and still sourcing business even when they clearly have too many applications in their pipeline and service levels are exceeding an acceptable level. One thing to bear in mind if you are searching for a deal at the moment is to ask your adviser the size of their panel. Some brokers have as little as 23 lenders on their panel, which means they will likely be affected more by this reduction than brokers with over 100.
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Several reasons are causing the rise of rates and also products being pulled. One of them is the swap rates for mortgages. Another islenders being unable to service the sheer volumes of applications they're receiving as people seek to lock into rates before they rise further. The past three months has resulted in many people having a long and hard look at their mortgage options and some lenders are seeing significantly increased applications as a result. The only way to ensure everyone stays sane is to either remove products or increase rates. Some lenders have therefore decided to simplify their product offering by reducing the range so instead of having 20 2-year fixed rate products they many only now have four as this can allow for easier re-pricing and removal as right now no lender wants to be cheapest. The main thing for lenders right now is service levels.
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Mortgage lenders change and remove products for a variety of reasons including how busy they are or want to be. One thing is for sure, anyone procrastinating on the sidelines wondering whether to take action or their mortgage or not is highly likely to be out of pocket for doing so. Presently, interest rates can only travel in one direction, and that's north. Delaying will certainly leave borrowers seriously of pocket. We advise people to start the remortgage process six months in advance and those borrowers that followed us are now benefiting from the cheapest rates available by over 1%. Delay and pay.
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A big chunk of the decrease is down to a handful of lenders pulling mortgage products completely, in order to catch up with their backlog of applications. With rates rising, demand has surged over the past six months as borrowers try to lock into the lowest rate before the next base rate hike. When they come to remortgage, many people will find their monthly payments going up by hundreds of pounds. Ultra-low rates over the past decade have led to people borrowing up to the hilt, on the assumption rates would remain low. That's no longer the case. Unfortunately, we could see a lot of distressed selling over the next year or two, driving down property prices.
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There are ultimately many reasons for lenders removing products. Sometimes it is to simplify their range, other times because things are changing so quickly they need to take a breather. At the moment, there are a few reasons for the reduction in available products. Firstly, a lot of lenders are overwhelmed with applications at the moment, and are reducing their product ranges so they can get on top of the business they already have. Secondly with the current economic climate, they are likely wanting to sit tight and see what happens with the looming recession. There is a lot going on in the economy right now and the smaller product ranges reflect the uncertainty currently affecting the mortgage market.
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Rates are increasing with lenders on a weekly basis. We normally have a notification every day with at least one changing rates. For those looking to remortgage now, they will likely see their rate has at least doubled. It seems to be that demand is very strong for remortgages as it is clear that the sooner you lock a rate in, the better, given the current state of the economy and spiralling inflation.