FT Logo

Copy article

FT Editor Banner

Are people interested in bond funds?

Journalist: Sally Hickey, Financial Times

ended 17. April 2025

We're trying to work out if retail investors are looking to increase their allocations to bond funds/haven assets as a result of the turmoil caused by Trump - and whether they understand these products (especially bonds). Have you had many enquiries from clients who want to move into ‘safer’ products since Trump introduced big tarriffs? What is your advice to those investors?

3 responses from the Newspage community

Copy all

Copy

The Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policies and unpredictable escalations have prompted retail investors to search desperately for safe-haven assets, with many returning to the traditional sectors of fixed-income, gold, or cash. However, many investors don’t fully grasp the complexities and inherent risks of these hurried bond investments, against a backdrop of central banks beginning to reassess their monetary policy stance. Although a shift towards accelerated rate cuts could benefit these bondholders initially, long-term investors face potential duration risk vulnerabilities, with any unexpected counter shift or resurgence in inflation, rapidly eroding the value of these supposed safe-haven investments. Therefore, retail investors should approach bond funds with caution, rather than assuming they are a one-stop shop for diversification away from equity markets. The only way to achieve total stability and certainty in this environment is to increase your cash allocation.
Copy

The time to try and switch to bond funds is generally before we see a market fall but it's impossible to time those. To switch to bonds now would be predicting further falls which is a bold call when so much is unknown. What's Trump going to do next, who's going to retaliate and who's wheeling and dealing into a trade deal? Investment strategy is all about timeframes, when do you need the money and how much pain can you bear in the interim? Bond funds can be useful at softening market declines but that typically comes at the cost of sacrificing future equity returns. If you try and time markets, you need to get two key decisions right, when to get out and when to get back in.
Copy

The mechanics behind bond values are complex and often misunderstood by retail investors. A common — and potentially dangerous — misconception is that all bonds, as an asset class, are inherently ‘low risk’. In reality, there is a vast difference between high-quality, short-duration bonds and lower-credit, long-duration bond funds, each behaving very differently depending on market conditions. Even government bonds aren't immune to risk — as seen in 2022, when some UK gilts fell by as much as 20–30% in value.

Whilst some clients have been in touch following recent market volatility, effective risk management happens ex ante — not after the fact.