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10-year mortgage fix cheaper than 2-year fix

Journalist: Paloma Kubiak, YourMoney.com

ended 08. September 2022

Good afternoon,

Following on from Nationwide's rate changes effective from today (https://www.nationwide-intermediary.co.uk/news/2022/september/selected-reprice) it appears the 10-year fix deals (across LTVs and fee options) are priced lower/cheaper than the two and three-year equivalents.

Is this novel? Have we seen this in the past?
Given the rising rate environment, what should borrowers consider if they're looking for a longer-term fix? eg ERC/rates could fall etc…
Are you seeing more interest in longer-term fixes or a decline in the two or three year deals? Do you have search data you can share with me please?
The rates change and cheaper 10-year fixes - can we expect more providers to follow? are any other lenders offering cheaper 10-year fixes than the two or three year equivalents?
How are lenders pricing in deals eg are they expecting the base rate to go down again in the next few months/years which is why these rates are more competitive than the 2 and 3 year deals?
Any other relevant comments/insight from mortgage experts would also be appreciated!

Many thanks, Paloma

6 responses from the Newspage community

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For the first time in my career as a mortgage adviser, I am seeing 10-year fixed rates cheaper than 2-year fixes. I truly believe this is a case of lenders using a state of fear to benefit themselves. I think it's a great business opportunity and I feel they see it as a win/win situation. Should interest rates drop within the 10-year period, we will see customers paying more on these fixed rates than what will be available on the market. Borrowers seeking to exit would then need to pay a huge early repayment charge, which is typically larger on a 10-year fixed rate, should they wish to come out of that loan. With the current uncertainty in the market, a 10-year fixed rate is a gamble. Always ask yourself: what will I be doing in the next 10 years with my life, and if you can't answer that then maybe a 10-year fixed rate isn't for you. In my opinion, you will always lose to the mortgage lender, you just get to choose how you lose. Im happy to go through sourcing with you should you want to discuss this further over teams
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Generally speaking, 10 year fixes are only suitable for older borrowers who are very confident they are not going to move again. Even then it's a roll of the dice, as we just don't know what twists or turns life is going to take. Should circumstances change, and the loan needs to be repaid within the fixed term, it's likely borrowers will be stung with a hefty penalty that would likely massively outweigh any interest rate saving had. It can be a great product in the right situation, but definitely one to approach with caution.
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I would very rarely recommend a 10 year fixed rate deal to a client, as it is a very long period of time to make such a commitment to a mortgage lender. it is almost impossible to predict what your circumstances will look like in 10 years and could lead to high early repayment charges should you need to leave this deal during this fixed deal period. It is important to review exactly what early repayment penalties are involved in a 10 year deal and if you would be comfortable paying this fee should you need to make changes to your mortgage in future years. I can understand why some homeowners would find this tempting especially with the current market, inflation and rising interest rates to provide some long term security. However, the property market is forever changing and you could fix at a higher interest rate than rates that may be available in years to come. It is important to speak to an independent and whole of market mortgage advisor who can review all options with you, to review your current and future plans to determine what the best deal for your circumstances are. Don't be tempted by the idea of long term fixed rate security as this is likely to come back to bite you when your circumstances change in the future.
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For us, this is unchartered waters we're sailing into. At the moment there is no hard and fast rule on what type of product they should be taking on their next mortgage. The advice received should be personalised to that client around their plans and aspirations for the future. Naturally more and more people will now be wanting to fix for a long-term duration, for the average person 10 years is an extremely long time to be tied into a mortgage and a lot can change in that period which really needs to be thought about before committing. Others may view this as a short-term squeeze on interest rates where banks are happy to fix clients in long term knowing that if rates come down they will be stuck paying that rate for a long duration or will face hefty early repayment charges to come out early. Naturally, if there is an appetite from customers for a 10 year fixed more and more lenders will follow to gain a peace of this market share.
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"It is unbelievable that you can fix your mortgage for 10 years at a lower rate than you can for 2 years. The downside is that you will face Early Repayment Charges if you want to get out of it during the term. If you are planning on staying in your property for 10 years then it is something you should seriously consider. The other thing to consider is that rates like these imply that Nationwide is expecting rates to be cheaper again in the future, so you could end up paying more over the 10 years. However, if you like security, it is a good deal."
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There have, historically, been two issues with 10-year fixed rate mortgages. The first was always their cost, they were priced at a level that looked expensive when compared to a 5-year fixed rate offering. Whilst this has changed recently and the 10-year deals are now carrying less of a premium (if any at all), the second issue still holds - lack of flexibility. Many 10-year fixed rates will also come with pretty hefty Early Repayment Charges (ERC's) for the full 10-year term (there are a few notable exceptions to this). Now whilst many will still allow overpayments and be portable, 10 years is still a long time and it's very rare that the mortgage that's right for you in 2022 will still be the mortgage that's right for you 2032. If I ask you to tell me what you think life will look like in two years' time, you will no doubt have a pretty good idea, even in five years' time you will have a fair idea of how things will go, but over ten years? That really is guess work for many people and saying you need to pay a few thousand pounds to escape the mortgage if you guess wrong, that's not a gamble many people are happy to take.